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Let’s take a look at my sports betting preview for Saturday’s two games:
Cleveland @ Green Bay
I think this game is going to be a lot closer than most people think. Statistically, these teams are pretty similar. Cleveland is coming off of a crazy week because of covid and a game that got pushed to Monday night with Nick Mullens at QB. The Browns should be getting most of their guys back for Saturday’s afternoon game and there is a stylistic matchup I think most people are ignoring. Yes, Aaron Rodgers is having an MVP-caliber season. Yes, Davante Adams is arguably the best WR in the league. But people see that and think it’s an automatic win against a team like the Browns. Here’s your matchup stats: GB is ranked 25th in the NFL in rushing yds/attempt giving up 4.5yds. Cleveland is ranked 3rd behind only the Colts and Eagles in rushing yds/attempt averaging 4.9yds. One of my books has this line at 9 so I just can’t pass up that number when the stats don’t add up.
Pick: CLE +9 (-125)
Indianapolis @ Arizona
You don’t have to get too deep in stats for this one. Arizona is being undervalued after a stinker last week where they lost to the freaking Lions by 18pts! On the other side, the Colts are being overvalued after beating a Patriots team that had looked good going into that game, but made some costly mistakes. The wild card here is Jonathan Taylor. The Cardinals have one of the best pass defenses in the NFL, and across the season, their run defense has struggled. However, their run defense has been better recently averaging 4yds/attempt in their last three games (compared to 4.6 on the season). Indy is also ranked 25th in defensive pass success, and Arizona ranks 4th in offensive pass success rates, so there’s a big mismatch there. Give me the home team in a bounce-back spot against a team that just celebrated like they won a playoff game last week.
Pick: ARI PK
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(Promo Code: 6A2841ERJC) Great teams find ways to prevail. Over the last week or so, the Yankees have dealt with an abundance of injuries. They’ve all come at once, in no way that I’ve seen before. It’s mind boggling. But one thing that’s remained is they are still winning baseball games.
After a 6-game road trip, the Mets are back at Citi Field to start a 6-game homestand against the Phillies. The two teams have been playing against each other a lot lately in the early part of the season, as this will already be the 4th series that the two teams are playing. After this series, the Mets and Phillies won't see each other again until August in Philadelphia, where they'll be playing the remaining 4 games of their season series. So far this season, the Mets are 6-3 against the Phillies. The last time the two teams met at Citi Field, the Mets threw a combined no-hitter. It was the first combined no-hitter in Mets history.
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The Mets are in San Francisco to take on the Giants in a 3-game series. The last time these two teams met this season, the Mets took 3 out of 4 from the Giants.
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